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Home Education Article

Business Confidence Report – Forex Economic Calendar

by Miracle Admin
July 31, 2020
in Article
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The Alpari brand has brokered trades for over twenty years. It’s helped over two million customers, but you might still be wondering… ⇒


Business confidence announcements report on how confident the business managers within an economy are. Confident business managers tend to hire more people and invest in business expan­sion, new products, and more inventory. Insecure business manag­ers tend to hire fewer people (or even lay off employees) and invest less in business expansion, new products, and more inventory.

Business confidence data are released in multiple announce­ments that you need to be aware of:

  1. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Business Survey: Survey of purchasing managers’ confidence in the economy based on new orders, production, employment, deliveries, inventories, and so on.
  2. German ZEW (Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung) Indicator of Economic Sentiment: Survey of institutional investors’ and analysts’ confidence.
  3. German IFO (Institut fiir Wirtschaftsforschung) Business Climate Index: Survey of manufacturers’, builders’, wholesalers’, and retailers’ confidence
  4. Tankan Manufacturing Index (Japan): Survey of manufacturers’ confidence.

Impact on Trade Flows

Rising Business Confidence –> Increase in Corporate Spending –> Increased Demand for Imports –> Increase in Trade Flows

Falling Business Confidence –> Decrease in Corporate Spending Decreased Demand for Imports –> Decrease in Trade Flows

Impact on Investment Flows

Rising Business Confidence –> Increase in Corporate Spending–> Increase in Corporate Profits –> Rising, More Attractive Stock Market–> Increase in Investment Flows

Rising Business Confidence –> Increase in Corporate Spending –> Rising Inflation–> Central Bank Raising Interest Rates –> More Attractive Government Debt Market –> Increase in Investment Flows

Falling Business Confidence -> Decrease in Corporate Spending –> Decline in Corporate Profits –> Falling, Less Attractive Stock Market –> Decrease in Investment Flows

Falling Business Confidence –> Decrease in Corporate Spending –>Falling Inflation –>Central Bank Lowering Interest Rates –> Less Attractive Government Debt Market –> Decrease in Investment Flows

Impact on Money Supply

Rising Business Confidence  –>Increase in Corporate Spending Rising Inflation –> Central Bank Raising Interest Rates  –>Decrease in the Money Supply

Falling Business Confidence –> Decrease in Corporate Spending –> Falling Inflation –>Central Bank Lowering Interest Rates -> Increase in the Money Supply

Impact on Investor Fear

Rising Business Confidence –> Confident Investors

Falling Business Confidence –> Nervous Investors

Typical Impact on the Currency

Rising Business Confidence –> Stronger Currency

Falling Business Confidence–> Weaker Currency

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Events Today

Curr   Prev Forc
GBP Prelim GDP q/q 0.5% 16.0%
GBP GDP m/m 1.0% -2.6%
GBP Manufacturing Production m/m 0.7% 0.7%
CAD Wholesale Sales m/m -1.6% 0.7%
USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 80.8 79.0
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